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RecurSaveResearchHigh-Propensity Business Applications by State — July 2026

Business formation

New York Led the U.S. in High-Propensity Application Share at 41.4%

Published: Category:Business formation

Key finding: New York ranked first in July 2026 at 41.4%. Mississippi ranked last at 18.2%.

The gap was 23.3 points.

New York's share was 2.28 times as high.

The U.S. share was 26.2%.

The Census Bureau calls some applications High-Propensity Business Applications, or HBA.

HBA is a type of business application.

Census uses details on the application to place it in this group.

HBA does not mean a business has opened.

High-propensity business applications by state

High-Propensity Business Applications as a share of Business Applications by state and D.C., July 2026, seasonally adjusted
RankState or D.C.Business applicationsHigh-propensity applicationsHBA share
1New York31,07212,86641.4%
2Delaware5,3141,91636.1%
3Massachusetts7,4972,55734.1%
4Maine1,46747432.3%
5North Dakota86226931.2%
6Rhode Island1,06332730.8%
7California61,13318,54830.3%
8Vermont73121829.8%
9Nebraska2,05961129.7%
10Washington9,8852,88829.2%
11Idaho3,4541,00229.0%
12Hawaii1,47842728.9%
13Pennsylvania13,9204,02128.9%
14Montana2,73077628.4%
15Alaska1,36738428.1%
16Maryland9,1342,53127.7%
17New Hampshire1,94753827.6%
18Illinois18,2885,04227.6%
19District of Columbia1,42239127.5%
20New Mexico3,43994427.4%
21West Virginia1,64544727.2%
22Oregon5,7421,55327.0%
23Iowa3,32189827.0%
24Connecticut5,0261,33726.6%
25Minnesota6,6041,75326.5%
26North Carolina17,7174,70126.5%
27Virginia12,7533,35826.3%
28New Jersey15,8264,07725.8%
29Florida65,33216,43825.2%
30Nevada6,1741,52324.7%
31South Dakota1,22430124.6%
32Kansas4,3921,06224.2%
33Utah7,6631,84224.0%
34Tennessee11,3132,71624.0%
35South Carolina9,3682,23123.8%
36Oklahoma6,4611,52223.6%
37Arizona14,0853,30623.5%
38Georgia25,8636,06923.5%
39Louisiana7,3171,71223.4%
40Texas57,19013,34323.3%
41Wisconsin7,6571,78423.3%
42Wyoming7,5381,71422.7%
43Ohio17,0613,87122.7%
44Kentucky7,0881,58222.3%
45Indiana10,6392,33622.0%
46Arkansas5,0231,09521.8%
47Michigan16,5143,57721.7%
48Alabama7,7311,66321.5%
49Colorado17,2593,61320.9%
50Missouri12,1592,43620.0%
51Mississippi6,9791,26718.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Business Formation Statistics. RecurSave used July 2026 seasonally adjusted data released August 12, 2026.

New York ranked first

New York had 31,072 applications.

Of these, 12,866 were HBA.

That gave New York a 41.4% share.

Mississippi had 6,979 applications.

Of these, 1,267 were HBA.

That gave Mississippi an 18.2% share.

The gap was 23.3 points.

New York's share was 2.28 times as high.

What the data show

This ranking looks at the type of applications filed.

It does not count new firms.

It does not rank good or bad firms.

It does not show how many firms will hire staff.

Census looks at details on each EIN application.

It uses those details to flag some applications as HBA.

These applications have traits linked with later payroll firms.

The table shows the HBA share for each state.

Method

RecurSave used Census data for July 2026.

Two figures were used for each state and D.C.:

  • Business Applications
  • High-Propensity Business Applications

Both use the same month.

Both use the same Census data set.

The formula was:

HBA ÷ Business Applications × 100

RecurSave then ranked the results.

For the U.S., there were 578,926 applications.

Of these, 151,857 were HBA.

That gave the U.S. a 26.2% share.

Limits

HBA does not mean a firm has opened.

The data do not measure firm growth.

They do not measure success.

They do not measure jobs.

The table covers one month.

Ranks may change each month.

Census may also change old figures.

Census changed its HBA rules in 2026.

It removed some applications tied to online sales.

It then updated the old data.

Census also moved the series to 2022 NAICS.

This study does not explain why states differ.

Why this is useful

Raw counts favor big states.

A share gives each state the same base.

This makes states easier to compare.

The July range was large.

New York was at 41.4%.

Mississippi was at 18.2%.

The U.S. was at 26.2%.